Investment Consulting

The purpose of investment management is to maximize the probability that you will have more than enough money to care for your financial concerns throughout the entirety of your life, and direct the excess to loved ones and/or charitable causes you support. Active Investment Management philosophies and strategies invented in the early 1900s were made obsolete in the 1970s with the advent of Passive Investment Management. Unfortunately, most investors still embrace the obsolete strategies of Active Investing promoted by Wall Street firms and banking institutions.

Controlling the controllables with Passive Investment Management philosophies and strategies dramatically increases the odds of financial success in the long run. The Seven Fundamental Truths of Investing will help you avoid dangers of market timing, stock picking, high costs, unnecessary tax burdens, and desultory investment decisions.

 

The Seven Fundamental Truths of Investing

  1. Inflation is Our Greatest Threat
    • Due to longevity, 30 year retirements are becoming the norm, not the exception
    • At 3% inflation, prices for the goods and services we all need to survive will double every 24 years.
    • The income we need at the end of our retirement years will be more than twice that at the beginning of retirement.
  2. Own Innovation
    • The only defense against inflation is to own an appropriate allocation of equities.
    • Only portfolios with appropriate allocations of equities will outpace inflation and allow us to increase our retirement income at the same rate prices increase
  3. Stay Fully Invested
    • Missing only the best 20 trading days out of 5040 reduces returns by more than 6%. *

    • Market timing adds uncertainty and anxiety, reduces efficiency, and increases taxes and costs, all thwarting your financial objectives.
  4. Computers Made Picking Stocks Obsolete 40 Years Ago
    • Active Investing, which utilizes managers and advisors to pick stocks to ‘outperform’ the market, is now obsolete
    • Computers made markets efficient because all knowable information disseminates at the speed of light and is immediately priced into the price of securities and markets
    • On average, Active Investment Management will underperform Passive Investment Management by the extra expense and costs of active management… usually 1 – 2% annually.
  5. More Global Companies = More Innovation = More Wealth for the Investor
    • Would you rather own the innovation and thinking power of just a few individual companies (individual stocks) or the entrepreneur thinking and innovation of more than 12,000 companies in over 43 countries?
    • Owning an individual security increases risk 2 to 3 times that of owning its entire asset category
  6. Tilt Towards Small Cap Stocks
    • On average, small cap stocks in the US, developed international and emerging economies produce higher returns than large cap stocks over time.
  7. Tilt Towards Value Stocks
    • On average, value stocks in the US, developed international and emerging economies produce higher returns than growth stocks over time

* – S&P 500 from 1/1/1991 through 12/31/2010, 5040 trading days

“By day we write about ‘Six Funds to Buy NOW!’… By night, we invest in sensible index funds. Unfortunately, pro-index fund stories don’t sell magazines.” - Anonymous - Fortune Magazine Writer
"The best throw of the dice is to throw them away." -English Proverb
“When it comes down to how we are performing, we are trailing in the market’s wake. People ought to recognize that the average fund can never outperform the market in total.” - John Fossel - Former Chairman, The Oppenheimer Funds
"While it is a tragedy that the vast majority of investors unnecessarily miss out on the market returns that are available to anyone by adopting a passive investment strategy, the really great tragedy in life is that they also miss out on the important things in life in pursuit of the "Holy Grail of Outperformance." - Larry Swedrow – "Wise Investing Made Simple"
“I believe the search for top-performing stock funds is an intellectually discredited exercise that will come to be viewed as one of the great financial follies of the late 20th century. Ignore market timers, Wall Street strategists, technical analysts, and bozo journalists who make market predictions … Admit to your therapist that you can’t beat the market.” - Jonathan Clements - Columnist, Wall Street Journal
“I have a lot of friends who work in the securities business, and all of them just buy the stock market. I don’t know any of them who are stock pickers.” - Benjamin Stein- TV host of Win Ben Stein’s Money, SmartMoney
“ After nearly fifty years in this business, I do not know of anybody who has done it (market timing) successfully, and consistently. I don’t even know anybody who knows anybody who has done it successfully and consistently.” - John C. Bogle, SR. - Former Chairman & Founder, The Vanguard Group
"Most of the mutual fund investments I have are index funds..." - Charles R. Schwab, Author, Guide to Financial
“The statistical evidence proving stock index funds outperform between 80% and 90% of actively managed equity funds is so overwhelming that it takes enormously expensive advertising campaigns to obscure the truth from investors.” - The Motley Fool - Internet Advisor
"..the best way to own common stocks is through an index fund..." - Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, Inc. 1996 Shareholder Letter
“All the time and effort people devote to picking the right fund, the hot hand, the great manager, have in most cases, led to no advantage. Most investors would be better off in an index fund.” - Peter Lynch - Legendary Manager of Fidelity Magellan
"If I have noticed anything over these sixty years on Wall Street, it is that people do not succeed in forecasting what's going to happen to the stock market." - Benjamin Graham– Legendary investor and author, Security Analysis
"...Despite all the hoopla surrounding the fund performance surveys, empirical evidence casts strong doubt on the naïve application of past performance to the selection of investment managers." - William Sharpe, et al, Investments (2nd ed.)